Re­se­arch | 6 Mai 2025 10:00

Ori­gi­nal-Re­se­arch: Um­welt­Bank AG – by GBC AG

06.05.2025 / 10:00 CET/CEST
Dis­se­mi­na­ti­on of a Re­se­arch, trans­mit­ted by EQS News – a ser­vice of EQS Group.
The is­suer is so­le­ly re­spon­si­ble for the con­tent of this re­se­arch. The re­sult of this re­se­arch does not con­sti­tu­te in­vest­ment ad­vice or an in­vi­ta­ti­on to con­clude cer­tain stock ex­ch­an­ge tran­sac­tions.


Clas­si­fi­ca­ti­on of GBC AG to Um­welt­Bank AG

Com­pa­ny Name: Um­welt­Bank AG
ISIN: DE0005570808
Re­ason for the re­se­arch: Re­se­arch Com­ment
Re­com­men­da­ti­on: BUY
Tar­get pri­ce: 10.40 EUR
Tar­get pri­ce on sight of: 31.12.2025
Last ra­ting ch­an­ge:
Ana­lyst: Cos­min Fil­ker, Mar­cel Gold­mann

Strong growth achie­ved across all in­co­me and ear­nings le­vels

Fol­lo­wing the key fi­gu­res for the first quar­ter pu­blished for the first time on 30 April 2025, Um­welt­Bank AG re­por­ted si­gni­fi­cant growth across all in­co­me and ear­nings le­vels com­pared with the pre­vious year. While net in­te­rest in­co­me rose si­gni­fi­cant­ly to €13.66 mil­li­on (pre­vious year: €7.73 mil­li­on) as ex­pec­ted on the ba­sis of the re­cent in­crease in cus­to­mer de­po­sits, the in­crease in net fi­nan­cial in­co­me to €12.38 mil­li­on (pre­vious year: €3.67 mil­li­on) was well abo­ve our ex­pec­ta­ti­ons. This in­cludes pro­fit dis­tri­bu­ti­ons from the sale of real es­tate by a sub­si­dia­ry. The com­pa­ny plans to sell its en­ti­re in­vest­ment busi­ness by 2026, but in­vest­ment sa­les are in­her­ent­ly dif­fi­cult to plan.

The strong in­crease in the fi­nan­cial re­sult ul­ti­m­ate­ly led to ear­nings be­fo­re ta­xes of €10.28 mil­li­on (pre­vious year: €-0.13 mil­li­on), which al­re­a­dy ex­ceeds the company’s gui­dance for the full year 2025 (gui­dance: €5 mil­li­on to €10 mil­li­on) af­ter just th­ree months. Ho­we­ver, as no fur­ther pro­fit dis­tri­bu­ti­ons are ex­pec­ted for the cur­rent fi­nan­cial year and risk pro­vi­si­ons in a ran­ge of €10 mil­li­on to €15 mil­li­on are ex­pec­ted for the rest of the year, the other quar­ters of the year are ex­pec­ted to show a slight­ly ne­ga­ti­ve pre-tax re­sult on a cu­mu­la­ti­ve ba­sis, mea­ning that the gui­dance re­mains un­ch­an­ged.

The pri­va­te cus­to­mer busi­ness was also cha­rac­te­ri­sed in the first quar­ter by an in­crease in the num­ber of cus­to­mers by 4,500 and in cus­to­mer de­po­sits by €140 mil­li­on. As at 31 March 2025, pri­va­te cus­to­mer de­po­sits amoun­ted to €3.6 bil­li­on and re­main on track to reach the company’s tar­get of €4.3 bil­li­on by the end of the 2025 fi­nan­cial year. By 2028, pri­va­te cus­to­mer de­po­sits are ex­pec­ted to in­crease fur­ther to €5.9 bil­li­on. In ad­di­ti­on to sa­vings pro­ducts and the ex­pan­si­on of the pro­duct ran­ge in the se­cu­ri­ties seg­ment, the de­po­sit busi­ness is to be dri­ven in par­ti­cu­lar by the cur­rent ac­count. The cur­rent ac­count en­te­red the Fri­ends pha­se in April, be­fo­re a roll-out is sche­du­led for mid-2025.

Alt­hough, ac­cor­ding to the com­pa­ny, de­mand in the re­ne­wa­ble en­er­gies and re­si­den­ti­al real es­tate sec­tors re­mains high in the cor­po­ra­te cus­to­mer busi­ness, new len­ding star­ted the year as ex­pec­ted on a sub­dued note at €30 mil­li­on (pre­vious year: €25 mil­li­on). In ad­di­ti­on to sel­ec­ti­ve len­ding, the con­ti­nuing equi­ty rest­ric­tions, which will be fur­ther tigh­ten­ed by the im­ple­men­ta­ti­on of CRR III, are also li­kely to have play­ed a role here. For the year as a who­le, the Um­welt­Bank Board of Ma­nage­ment con­ti­nues to ex­pect new len­ding of €250 mil­li­on to €350 mil­li­on, re­pre­sen­ting a si­de­ways mo­ve­ment in len­ding vo­lu­me.

In line with the company’s gui­dance, we are sti­cking to our ear­nings esti­ma­tes. We have only made mi­nor ad­jus­t­ments on the in­co­me side, whe­re we are now ta­king the pro­fit dis­tri­bu­ti­on of the sub­si­dia­ry into ac­count in the fi­nan­cial re­sult. At the same time, we have re­du­ced net in­te­rest in­co­me to €60.32 mil­li­on (pre­vious­ly: €65.92 mil­li­on), which is in line with the company’s fo­re­cast of €60 mil­li­on to €65 mil­li­on. Pre­vious­ly, we had as­su­med a ste­ady in­crease in re­tail de­po­sits over the cour­se of the year. In our up­dated esti­ma­tes, we have post­po­ned the in­crease in pri­va­te cus­to­mer de­po­sits fol­lo­wing the in­tro­duc­tion of the cur­rent ac­count to the se­cond half of the year, which will re­sult in a lower avera­ge vo­lu­me of pri­va­te cus­to­mer de­po­sits in the cur­rent 2025 fi­nan­cial year.

Ho­we­ver, as we are main­tai­ning our ear­nings fo­re­casts un­ch­an­ged, we also con­firm the share pri­ce tar­get of €10.40 de­ri­ved from the re­si­du­al in­co­me mo­del. The ra­ting re­mains BUY.

You can down­load the re­se­arch here: http://​www​.more​-ir​.de/​d​/​3​2​4​7​4​.​pdf

Cont­act for ques­ti­ons:
GBC AG
Hal­der­stra­ße 27
86150 Augs­burg
0821241133 0
research@​gbc-​ag.​de
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Of­fen­le­gung mög­li­cher In­ter­es­sens­kon­flik­te nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben ana­ly­sier­ten Un­ter­neh­men ist fol­gen­der mög­li­cher In­ter­es­sen­kon­flikt ge­ge­ben: (1,4,5a,6a,7,11); Ei­nen Ka­ta­log mög­li­cher In­ter­es­sen­kon­flik­te fin­den Sie un­ter:
https://​www​.gbc​-ag​.de/​d​e​/​O​f​f​e​n​l​e​g​ung
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Date (time) Com­ple­ti­on: 06.05.2025 (8:26 am)
Date (time) first trans­mis­si­on: 06.05.2025 (10:00 am)

Ori­gi­nal-Re­se­arch: Um­welt­Bank AG (by GBC AG): Buy

GBC AG
Hal­der­stra­ße 27
86150 Augs­burg

Pho­ne: +49 821 241133–0
E‑mail: office(@)gbc-ag.de

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